China Will Replace The United States As The Next Superpower
On September 1, 2025, I wrote an article titled: “America First; America Alone”. https://iexposed.blog/2025/09/01/america-first-america-alone/
I opened with:
In 2022 I wrote an article that suggested that the United States of America was on a downward glide path and was destined to become a second tier country like France and the UK. I saw China as the next world’s superpower. I saw this happening in the next 50 to 100 years.
Today I still think the US will become a second tier nation but since Trump 2.0 took the stage, I now believe China will be the next superpower in less than 20 years.
I recently started listening to a new book titled “Breakneck: China’s Quest To Engineer The Future” by Dan Wang. I have only listened to the first two chapters but it provides specifics on why America’s future is not bright. It is not a story about politics. It’s a story about China’s characteristics and the US’s characteristics and why they put China in a stronger position.
I think everyone 25-50 years old should read this book because they will live through the transition. Old people, like me, will also find it interesting.
I am closing by reprinting the first few paragraphs:
Silicon Valley can be an amazingly drab place. The peninsula south of San Francisco has natural beauty with rolling hills and coastal views, but you strain to see them beyond so many corporate parking lots. Mountain View and Menlo Park are bizarrely full of rug shops, so when I walk through the towns that host the headquarters of AI leaders and some of the richest companies in the world, I often find myself wondering, is this the beating heart of our technologically accelerating civilization?
Each time I flew from California to Hong Kong or Shanghai, I felt almost unnerved to encounter functional infrastructure. Going from the airport into a subway, rather than an Uber, is an outstanding way to be welcomed to Asia. I would take a moment to savor a clean station, brightly lit, with trains running every few minutes, which would drop me off at a downtown filled with vibrant commercial areas, another feature that San Francisco lacks.
Life in the Bay Area, an economic dynamo in America’s richest state, can feel awfully dysfunctional. San Francisco has been unable to serve its homeless population, and even many wealthy people have to keep a generator for their extraordinarily expensive houses because the state can’t keep the lights on. The contradiction of the Bay Area, this red-hot center of corporate value creation that is surrounded by dysfunction, fuels the inquiry of this book.
When I departed from Silicon Valley for China in 2017, it felt clear that the United States had lost something special over the past four decades. While China was building the future, America had become physically static, its innovations mostly bound up in the virtual and financial worlds. Looking at these two countries, I came to realize the inadequacy of twentieth-century labels like capitalist, socialist, or, worst of all, neoliberal. They are no longer up to the task of helping us understand the world, if they ever were.
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