CORONAVIRUS INFO PROVIDED BY DR. JIM HARRIS –1/20/2022
For Jan. 19, the Covid Counts are essentially unchanged in Area G. I hope to see lower counts by about Wed???(Weekend cases should be accounted for by then.)
(J. Harris: The NYT invites educators to subscribe to this weekly article (s).
Information for parents of school children is also included and seems helpful.)
The Pandemic’s True Death Toll: Millions More Than Official Counts (Nature) Demographers, data scientists and public-health experts are striving to narrow the uncertainties for a global estimate of pandemic deaths. These efforts, from both academics and journalists, use methods ranging from satellite images of cemeteries to door-to-door surveys and machine-learning computer models that try to extrapolate global estimates from available data. Among these models, the World Health Organization (WHO) is still working on its first global estimate, but the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Seattle, Washington, offers daily updates of its own modeled results, as well as projections of how quickly the global toll might rise. And one of the highest-profile attempts to model a global estimate has come from the news media. The Economist magazine in London has used a machine-learning approach to produce an estimate of 12 million to 22 million excess deaths — or between 2 and 4 times the pandemic’s official toll so far.
IN THE ABOVE COVID DEATH MODELS, THE NUMBERS ARE IN MILLIONS OF DEATHS
”…According to Biobot Analytics, a company tracking the coronavirus in wastewater in 183 communities across 25 states, viral levels have already begun to decline in many big cities but are still rising in smaller communities…“Wastewater surveillance is a really powerful tool, and we’re seeing really a good example of that with Omicron, It’s not just an early warning sign, but it’s also helpful to monitor the full trajectory of a surge.”
”…The results suggest that additional monitoring of birth outcomes following first or second trimester maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection is warranted. The pregnant people who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 in this study were unvaccinated against COVID-19; therefore, it would be interesting to examine in future studies whether vaccination helps to prevent negative birth outcomes in breakthrough cases….”
(J. Harris: A long, comprehensive piece.)
AND LAST BUT NOT LEASED:
What do you say to comfort a friend who’s struggling with grammar? There, their, they’re.
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