J. Harris: The R factor is rapidly moving in the WRONG direction.
From Hopkins Suggestions:
COVID-19 Has Claimed the Lives of 100,000 Long-Term Care Residents and Staff (KFF) This week marks a bleak milestone in the pandemic’s effect on residents and staff in long-term care facilities across the country. According to our latest analysis of state-reported data, COVID-19 has claimed the lives of more than 100,000 long-term care facility residents and staff as of the last week in November. This finding comes at a time when public health experts are predicting a surge in cases after holiday gatherings and increased time indoors due to winter weather, which will have ripple effects on hospitals and nursing homes, given the close relationship between community spread and cases in congregate care settings.
No Evidence for Increased Transmissibility from Recurrent Mutations in SARS-CoV-2 (Nature) The most plausible mutations under putative natural selection are those which have emerged repeatedly and independently (homoplasies). Here, we formally test whether any homoplasies observed in SARS-CoV-2 to date are significantly associated with increased viral transmission.
“At this stage we find no evidence for significantly more transmissible lineages of SARS-CoV-2 due to recurrent mutations.”
At least 1,375 U.S. health-care workers have died from COVID-19.
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