CORONAVIRUS INFO PROVIDED BY DR. JIM HARRIS – 7/22/2020

July 22, 2020

TUESDAY AREA NEW COVID CASES:
Harrison: 9
Gregg: 85
Tyler: 53

THE TYLER WALK IN RATE FOR POSITIVE TESTS IS AROUND 15 %!!!!!This means that 15 out of every 100 people you see walking around area cities with or without amask very likely have COVID and should be considered contagious. SO, WEAR YOUR MASK and keep your distance.

(J. Harris: My assessment is that we have a significant amount of local and area disease but that we can quickly improve our position, maybe before school starts, if we continue to take precautions like masks and space and avoid crowds. ICU’s in Tyler and Longview are’crowded, and, of course, we don’t have an ICU in Marshall. Ultimately, our problems are LOCAL and will have to be managed by ourselves. Our immediate COVID future will be determined by LOCAL people. 

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COVID HOSPITALIZED CASES IN TEXAS

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Effective Reproduction Rate · Rt in TEXAS IS 1.01

Rt is the average number of people who become infected by an infectious person. If it’s above 1.0, COVID-19 will spread quickly. If it’s below 1.0, infections will slow

When and how to use masks

FROM JAMA VIA NPR: Early Antibody Study: In the New York City area, roughly 23% were shown to have antibodies by early May. Most of the other regions showed infection estimates in the single digits. Second round testing in Utah showed an estimated 1.1% rate and samples from Philadelphia arrived at an infection rate of 3.6%.

Experts say at least 50%-60% of exposure is required for herd immunity, where prevalence of exposure, and/or a vaccine, drastically reduces transmission of the virus. The CDC is careful to point out, however, that it doesn’t know if the presence of antibodies prevents reinfection by the coronavirus.

DATA FROM TEXAS TRIBUNE REGARDING PROVEN ACTIVE CASES:

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My ex-wife still misses me. But her aim is starting to improve  

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