March 30, 2020
Monday Longview Paper: Northeast Texas COVID-19 case count
Updated 50 min ago
The total of cases in Northeast Texas is now at least 56 in 14 counties. Here’s a look at totals reported Sunday, and changes from Saturday’s report:
Angelina: 3 (+2)
Gregg: 5 (+1)
Nacogdoches: 2 (+1)
Smith: 31 (+4), 1 death
Van Zandt: 1, 1 death
Sources: Texas Department of State Health Services, Northeast Texas Public Health District, local officials
LINEAR/LOG SCALE PROJECTION OF CVID
Sent to me by Dr. John Vasser who got it from a colleagues son who is PhD astrophysicists at Princeton’s Advanced Institute in NJ (Einstein founding member) Henry Lin
THIS IS A COUPLE OF DAYS OLD. PROBABLY SOME CHINESE NUMBERS NEED TO BE EVALUATED CAREFULLY. A GOOD DOCTOR I KNOW IN HOUSTON SAYS THAT THEY ONLY LIE IF THEY MUST.
Last Thursday, Wuhan reported for the first time since the outbreak began that it had no new cases of the virus from the day before — a milestone in China’s virus containment efforts. The city reported a zero rise in new cases for the following four days.
Assessing asymptomatic carriers
But Caixin, an independent Chinese news outlet, reported earlier this week that Wuhan hospitals were continuing to see new cases of asymptomatic virus carriers, citing a health official who said he had seen up to a dozen such cases a day.
Responding to inquiries about how the city was counting asymptomatic cases, Wuhan’s health commission said Monday that it is quarantining new asymptomatic patients in specialized wards for 14 days. Such patients would be included in new daily case counts if they develop symptoms during that time, authorities said.
… Research suggests that the spread can be caused by asymptomatic carriers. Studies of patients from Wuhan and other Chinese cities who were diagnosed early in the outbreak suggest that asymptomatic carriers of the virus can infect those they have close contact with, such as family members.
This long video features a New York ICU doctor who is very well informed. He’s a working doctor who’s right in the middle of the epidemic. It could stand some editing. It was sent to me by Dr. Al McClurg, who grew up in Marshall and lives in Austin. I don’t agree with a couple of minor things, but this doctor has been working daily in the midst of the epidemic. It runs over 30 min. but he answers many, many simple but pertinent questions. It is worth the time.
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